1860 München vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ING
2 - 0
MUN
38%
27%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2014 |
MUN
1 - 1
F95
43%
27%
30%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FSV
2 - 2
MUN
41%
27%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2013 |
MUN
0 - 2
STP
41%
26%
32%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
MUN
2 - 1
FCU
48%
26%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAD
4 - 0
ARB
50%
26%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
KOL
0 - 1
PAD
56%
23%
21%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
PAD
1 - 0
COT
56%
25%
20%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
KAI
0 - 1
PAD
58%
22%
20%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
VFR
2 - 4
PAD
37%
26%
37%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | +1 |