1860 München vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.2%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
TUS
3 - 1
MUN
33%
28%
39%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
MUN
1 - 1
M05
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2008 |
STP
0 - 0
MUN
35%
27%
38%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MUN
0 - 0
AAA
42%
26%
31%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2008 |
BYM
1 - 0
MUN
77%
16%
8%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
CZJ
1 - 0
SGF
28%
25%
47%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2008 |
BVB
3 - 0
CZJ
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 83 | 23 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2008 |
OFC
2 - 1
CZJ
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2008 |
CZJ
2 - 2
WEH
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
TUS
2 - 0
CZJ
40%
26%
34%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |