1860 München vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
12.7%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
SGF
0 - 1
MUN
29%
28%
43%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1974 |
MUN
4 - 1
SVS
68%
19%
13%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1974 |
SAA
1 - 0
MUN
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 1974 |
MUN
3 - 2
WWO
73%
15%
12%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1974 |
MUN
1 - 0
HEI
64%
20%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1974 |
BAY
1 - 0
BAY
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1974 |
SCH
1 - 1
BAY
57%
23%
20%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
BAY
0 - 0
DAR
40%
28%
32%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1974 |
BAY
1 - 2
S04
23%
21%
57%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1974 |
WAL
2 - 1
BAY
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |