1860 München U19 vs Greuther Fürth U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
17.2%
15.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
20
1º
5º
4º
8
6º
8º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
38 | 38 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 27 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 24 |
3º
|
74% | |
|
|
4º
|
20 | 20 |
4º
|
74% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
18 | 18 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 9 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
4 | 5 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1860 München U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SSU
4 - 2
MUN
25%
21%
54%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ING
1 - 2
MUN
66%
19%
15%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
MUN
0 - 2
UNT
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
AUG
2 - 2
MUN
29%
22%
50%
|
21 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
MUN
2 - 3
BYM
23%
19%
58%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Greuther Fürth U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 8
BYM
7%
12%
81%
|
17 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
GRE
2 - 0
SJR
58%
19%
23%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
SSU
2 - 2
GRE
46%
22%
33%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
UNT
1 - 2
GRE
72%
16%
12%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GRE
0 - 1
AUG
50%
21%
29%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | -1 |