15 Novembro vs Caxias do Sul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
15 Novembro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2007 |
NOV
0 - 2
GRE
19%
24%
57%
|
59 | 81 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
BRA
0 - 4
NOV
30%
25%
45%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2007 |
SLU
2 - 2
NOV
32%
25%
43%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2007 |
NOV
1 - 1
GUA
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2007 |
NOV
2 - 2
ESP
64%
20%
16%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Caxias do Sul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2007 |
CAX
0 - 1
GUA
67%
18%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
SJO
1 - 0
CAX
35%
25%
40%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2007 |
BRA
1 - 1
CAX
39%
28%
33%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2007 |
COT
4 - 1
CAX
72%
19%
10%
|
57 | 73 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2007 |
CAX
2 - 1
SLU
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |