14 de Julho vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
ECJ
1 - 1
ISM
35%
25%
40%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2012 |
SSR
3 - 2
ECJ
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ECJ
2 - 1
RIO
50%
24%
25%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
BRA
2 - 2
ECJ
61%
23%
16%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2012 |
ECJ
2 - 0
RIO
38%
25%
37%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
FAR
45%
25%
31%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
ISM
2 - 1
SAO
73%
17%
10%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
1 - 0
SSR
46%
23%
31%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 0
SAO
55%
23%
22%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
SAO
0 - 5
BRA
27%
24%
49%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -3 |