14 de Julho vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.2%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 2
ECJ
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 0
ECJ
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 1
ECJ
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ECJ
4 - 0
CEF
58%
22%
21%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
GEB
1 - 0
ECJ
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
GFC
0 - 0
SAO
44%
24%
32%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 1
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
FCP
58%
22%
21%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
GEB
2 - 0
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |