14 de Julho vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
44.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2009 |
ECJ
1 - 3
RIO
30%
25%
45%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
ECJ
1 - 3
GEB
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
CEF
4 - 2
ECJ
22%
22%
56%
|
34 | 18 | 16 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ECJ
1 - 0
FAR
31%
24%
45%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
PEL
3 - 2
ECJ
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 3
RIO
51%
24%
26%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
FAR
0 - 1
SAO
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
SAO
2 - 1
PEL
32%
26%
42%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | +2 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
47%
24%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ECA
3 - 0
SAO
63%
20%
17%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |