14 de Julho vs São Paulo RS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
66.2%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
PEL
5 - 1
ECJ
81%
13%
6%
|
23 | 50 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
São Paulo RS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
FAR
64%
20%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1982 |
BAN
1 - 0
SAO
72%
18%
10%
|
56 | 74 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1982 |
SAO
2 - 2
INT
36%
29%
35%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 1982 |
SAO
0 - 0
SAN
25%
29%
46%
|
55 | 83 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1982 |
INT
3 - 0
SAO
72%
18%
11%
|
55 | 70 | 15 | 0 |