14 de Julho vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
45.5%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
ECJ
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
ECJ
61%
21%
18%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 2
GEB
36%
25%
39%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 1
ECJ
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
3 - 1
ECJ
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2010 |
GFC
1 - 0
GUA
44%
25%
32%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAO
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | +1 |