14 de Julho vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.7%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
30.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2010 |
BRA
1 - 1
ECJ
70%
18%
12%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 0
SAO
41%
24%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
GFC
2 - 2
ECJ
47%
23%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 0
ECJ
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 1
ECJ
52%
22%
26%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
FAR
2 - 1
GUA
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2009 |
GUA
0 - 1
PEL
32%
26%
42%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
POR
4 - 0
GUA
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2009 |
GUA
3 - 0
LAJ
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |