14 de Julho vs Guarany de Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
38.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
ECJ
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 2
GFC
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
0 - 0
RIO
39%
24%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
2 - 0
ECJ
51%
23%
26%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 5
SAO
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Guarany de Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
ECJ
54%
22%
24%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
48%
25%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 1
GEB
49%
25%
26%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
GFC
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 08 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 0
GUA
37%
26%
37%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | -2 |