14 de Julho vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
27.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
0 - 1
ECJ
44%
23%
33%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
SAO
1 - 2
ECJ
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
1 - 1
RIO
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2011 |
ECJ
3 - 1
GUA
31%
24%
46%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | +4 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
ECJ
72%
18%
10%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
0 - 1
GUA
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
GEB
60%
23%
17%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
1 - 2
SAO
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
FAR
1 - 0
GEB
38%
25%
38%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -2 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
GEB
1 - 2
RIO
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |