14 de Julho vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
38.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 1
ECJ
54%
23%
23%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2010 |
GFC
3 - 1
ECJ
60%
21%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
2 - 5
GUA
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -3 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
GUA
2 - 0
ECJ
54%
22%
24%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
ECJ
1 - 2
GFC
43%
24%
33%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2010 |
GEB
1 - 1
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
2 - 1
RIO
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2010 |
SAO
3 - 0
GEB
50%
24%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2010 |
GEB
3 - 0
SAO
43%
24%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 2
GEB
46%
26%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |