14 de Julho vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.4%
39.6%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
RIO
4 - 2
ECJ
58%
22%
20%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
ECJ
0 - 0
CEF
76%
15%
9%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2008 |
ECJ
1 - 1
SAO
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
FAR
3 - 1
ECJ
59%
21%
20%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
ECJ
3 - 1
FAR
28%
23%
48%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +5 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2008 |
GEB
2 - 0
FAR
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
GEB
1 - 2
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2008 |
PEL
1 - 0
GEB
59%
22%
19%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2008 |
GEB
1 - 4
PEL
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
SAO
1 - 0
GEB
52%
24%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |