14 de Julho vs GE Bagé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
FAR
2 - 1
ECJ
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 40 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ECJ
1 - 2
RIO
28%
25%
46%
|
27 | 37 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
RIO
2 - 0
ECJ
66%
17%
17%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2007 |
ECJ
3 - 2
FAR
14%
24%
63%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +3 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
GEB
4 - 4
ECJ
76%
14%
11%
|
24 | 42 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
GE Bagé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
GEB
1 - 1
PEL
36%
25%
39%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SAO
2 - 2
GEB
66%
19%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
GEB
3 - 1
SAO
25%
23%
52%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | +2 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
PEL
1 - 0
GEB
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2007 |
GEB
4 - 4
ECJ
76%
14%
11%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |