14 de Julho vs CEF Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.5%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
14 de Julho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2009 |
GEB
1 - 0
ECJ
63%
20%
17%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ECJ
0 - 1
PEL
27%
25%
48%
|
34 | 49 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2009 |
RIO
2 - 1
ECJ
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
SAO
1 - 4
ECJ
61%
20%
19%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ECJ
3 - 0
GUA
36%
24%
40%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
CEF Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 3
SAO
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
CEF
1 - 3
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
FAR
2 - 2
CEF
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
CEF
2 - 1
GEB
26%
25%
49%
|
25 | 47 | 22 | +4 |
| 21 Apr. 2009 |
PEL
4 - 0
CEF
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |