11 Oktomvri vs Renova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
13.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.3%
1-0
3.3%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.5%
68.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.2%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
4.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
11 Oktomvri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2012 |
TIK
0 - 3
11O
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
11O
1 - 0
POB
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
MAD
3 - 0
11O
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
11O
1 - 1
NOV
69%
19%
13%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2012 |
BRE
4 - 1
11O
70%
20%
11%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Renova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
DRI
2 - 4
REN
20%
24%
56%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2012 |
REN
0 - 2
VAR
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
REN
0 - 0
HTR
61%
23%
16%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
TET
0 - 3
REN
26%
27%
48%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
REN
1 - 1
NAP
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | 0 |