Union Berlin vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.7%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
32%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
COT
2 - 1
FCU
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2013 |
FCU
3 - 0
ERZ
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 0
FCU
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
FCU
1 - 1
ING
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2013 |
HER
2 - 2
FCU
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2013 |
STP
3 - 2
SSV
72%
18%
10%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VFR
0 - 1
STP
36%
28%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
STP
3 - 0
FSV
56%
23%
20%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2013 |
STP
0 - 1
KOL
42%
25%
33%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SVS
4 - 1
STP
27%
27%
46%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | -1 |