Union Berlin vs Sporting Braga analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HEI
1 - 0
FCU
26%
24%
50%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 2
HOF
45%
25%
30%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
RMA
1 - 0
FCU
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 95 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
WOL
2 - 1
FCU
33%
26%
41%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
FCU
0 - 3
RBL
21%
23%
56%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Braga
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2023 |
ESA
2 - 4
SPB
9%
16%
75%
|
88 | 65 | 23 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SPB
4 - 1
BOA
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
SPB
1 - 2
NAP
13%
21%
66%
|
87 | 95 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
FAR
3 - 1
SPB
16%
20%
63%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MOR
2 - 3
SPB
22%
22%
56%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | +1 |