Union Berlin vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.6%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24%
60.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
FCU
0 - 4
BFC
21%
27%
52%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
ERF
2 - 1
FCU
58%
23%
18%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1979 |
FCU
0 - 1
ROS
55%
26%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
FCU
1 - 1
BSG
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1978 |
LOK
2 - 1
FCU
73%
16%
11%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 1979 |
SGD
1 - 0
AUS
82%
12%
6%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1979 |
SGD
1 - 1
BWA
85%
10%
5%
|
90 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1979 |
AUS
3 - 1
SGD
34%
25%
41%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 1979 |
HAL
0 - 0
SGD
26%
25%
49%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1979 |
SGD
4 - 1
CHE
84%
11%
5%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |