Union Berlin vs Rot Weiss Ahlen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2009 |
TUS
1 - 1
FCU
38%
27%
36%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
FCU
5 - 4
PAD
51%
26%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
AUG
1 - 1
FCU
40%
27%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
FCU
1 - 0
ROS
45%
26%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
FCU
1 - 0
F95
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Rot Weiss Ahlen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2009 |
RWA
2 - 3
SGF
27%
24%
49%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
RWA
1 - 4
F95
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2009 |
ARB
2 - 0
RWA
61%
23%
16%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
RWA
0 - 0
MUN
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ROT
2 - 0
RWA
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |