Union Berlin vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
22.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
F95
2 - 1
FCU
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
FCU
2 - 2
OSN
43%
26%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
RWA
0 - 1
FCU
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
FCU
3 - 1
BOR
70%
20%
11%
|
59 | 40 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HOL
0 - 4
FCU
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ERF
2 - 1
HER
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
WER
0 - 1
ERF
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ERF
2 - 0
LUB
20%
25%
55%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BOR
0 - 1
ERF
45%
26%
29%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ERF
0 - 0
WUP
32%
28%
41%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |