Union Berlin vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
KOL
1 - 2
FCU
47%
24%
29%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 1
S04
20%
23%
57%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2020 |
MON
4 - 1
FCU
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 1
M05
36%
25%
39%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2020 |
HER
4 - 0
FCU
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jun. 2020 |
PAD
1 - 5
BRE
28%
23%
49%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2020 |
RBL
1 - 1
PAD
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | +1 |
| 31 May. 2020 |
PAD
1 - 6
BVB
10%
15%
75%
|
72 | 90 | 18 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2020 |
AUG
0 - 0
PAD
59%
21%
20%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2020 |
PAD
1 - 1
HOF
13%
18%
69%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | +1 |