Union Berlin vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
31%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
ROT
2 - 2
FCU
25%
25%
50%
|
65 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
FCU
0 - 4
SGF
33%
27%
40%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
FSV
1 - 1
FCU
38%
27%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
KSC
3 - 2
FCU
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
FCU
4 - 2
COT
27%
26%
47%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
RWA
0 - 10
PAD
27%
25%
48%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
PAD
1 - 1
F95
33%
28%
39%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ROS
1 - 2
PAD
51%
25%
24%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2011 |
PAD
3 - 2
MUN
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
MSV
3 - 1
PAD
68%
20%
13%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |