Union Berlin vs Mainz 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
40.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 1
FCU
64%
20%
17%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
FCU
1 - 3
AUG
40%
26%
34%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
KSC
0 - 1
FCU
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
FCU
2 - 1
FCN
52%
23%
25%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
AJA
2 - 2
FCU
82%
12%
6%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Mainz 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
M05
1 - 4
STU
45%
25%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
RBL
3 - 1
M05
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 5
M05
6%
14%
79%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2020 |
HOF
2 - 1
M05
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
M05
0 - 1
SVS
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |