Union Berlin vs VfB Lübeck analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2002 |
RWA
1 - 1
FCU
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2002 |
FCU
1 - 1
EIN
34%
25%
41%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2002 |
AAA
3 - 0
FCU
37%
27%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2002 |
UNT
1 - 0
FCU
42%
26%
32%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
FCU
0 - 0
MSV
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
VfB Lübeck
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
LUB
2 - 1
EBT
62%
21%
17%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2002 |
EIN
1 - 3
LUB
44%
25%
32%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2002 |
RWA
1 - 0
LUB
49%
23%
28%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2002 |
LUB
1 - 3
EIN
30%
25%
45%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2002 |
AAA
4 - 1
LUB
36%
25%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | -1 |