Union Berlin vs Köln II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
HOL
2 - 0
FCU
31%
26%
43%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2004 |
FCU
4 - 2
WUP
62%
22%
17%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
HER
1 - 1
FCU
41%
26%
33%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
WAC
3 - 1
FCU
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -2 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
FCU
2 - 2
KSC
54%
24%
22%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Köln II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2004 |
DIE
2 - 1
STP
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2004 |
HAM
2 - 0
DIE
43%
26%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2004 |
DIE
1 - 1
OSN
40%
26%
33%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2004 |
DIE
1 - 1
HOL
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
HAM
2 - 0
DIE
36%
26%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | -1 |