Union Berlin vs Heidenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
28.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
PAD
0 - 4
FCU
36%
26%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
STP
0 - 0
FCU
46%
25%
30%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
FCU
3 - 1
EBT
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
MSV
2 - 1
FCU
26%
25%
49%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FCU
4 - 0
FSV
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Heidenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 2
EBT
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
MSV
0 - 2
HEI
29%
27%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 2
FSV
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
KSC
0 - 0
HEI
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HEI
2 - 0
STP
46%
26%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | -1 |