Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV II analysis

Union Berlin  Hamburger SV II
63 ELO 59
1.7% Tilt -6.5%
59º General ELO ranking 2599º
12º Country ELO ranking 106º
ELO win probability
60.4%
Union Berlin
22%
Draw
17.6%
Hamburger SV II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.4%
Win probability
Union Berlin
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
17.6%
Win probability
 Hamburger SV II
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Berlin
-5%
-10%
 Hamburger SV II

ELO progression

Union Berlin
 Hamburger SV II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2004
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
1 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
45%
26%
29%
64 63 1 0
21 Aug. 2004
FCU
Union Berlin
0 - 4
SC Freiburg
SCF
27%
25%
48%
65 80 15 -1
15 Aug. 2004
FCU
Union Berlin
3 - 1
Köln II
DIE
62%
21%
17%
65 56 9 0
11 Aug. 2004
HOL
Holstein Kiel
2 - 0
Union Berlin
FCU
31%
26%
43%
66 54 12 -1
06 Aug. 2004
FCU
Union Berlin
4 - 2
Wuppertaler SV
WUP
62%
22%
17%
65 57 8 +1

Matches

Hamburger SV II
 Hamburger SV II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Aug. 2004
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
1 - 0
FC St Pauli
STP
43%
25%
32%
57 58 1 0
11 Aug. 2004
OSN
VfL Osnabrück
1 - 1
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
54%
24%
22%
57 61 4 0
08 Aug. 2004
HAM
 Hamburger SV II
2 - 0
Köln II
DIE
43%
26%
32%
56 56 0 +1
31 Jul. 2004
HOL
Holstein Kiel
0 - 2
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
51%
24%
25%
55 54 1 +1
05 Jun. 2004
WER
Werder Bremen II
0 - 2
 Hamburger SV II
HAM
58%
23%
20%
54 60 6 +1