Union Berlin vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2017 |
STP
1 - 2
FCU
29%
26%
46%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2017 |
FCU
2 - 0
WUR
63%
23%
15%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2017 |
FCU
2 - 0
MUN
61%
23%
16%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
KSC
1 - 2
FCU
25%
26%
50%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
FCU
3 - 1
ARB
54%
24%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 0
ARB
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
SGF
1 - 0
FCN
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
FCN
0 - 1
BOC
45%
25%
31%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2017 |
MUN
2 - 0
FCN
26%
26%
49%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 1
EBT
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |