Union Berlin vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
HOL
0 - 2
FCU
40%
24%
36%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
FCU
1 - 1
ARB
55%
23%
22%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
MSV
2 - 3
FCU
20%
23%
57%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
FCU
2 - 0
SVS
66%
20%
14%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
STP
3 - 2
FCU
29%
25%
46%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
ING
1 - 2
KOL
17%
23%
60%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
STP
1 - 0
ING
48%
26%
27%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
ING
2 - 1
BOC
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
ERZ
0 - 3
ING
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
ING
0 - 1
MAG
37%
27%
37%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |