Union Berlin vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis

Union Berlin Ingolstadt 04
73 ELO 70
2.2% Tilt 12.5%
62º General ELO ranking 844º
12º Country ELO ranking 43º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Union Berlin
24.3%
Draw
20.3%
Ingolstadt 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
Union Berlin
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.3%
Win probability
Ingolstadt 04
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Union Berlin
+3%
-8%
Ingolstadt 04

ELO progression

Union Berlin
Ingolstadt 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Mar. 2014
STP
FC St Pauli
2 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
47%
25%
28%
74 75 1 0
21 Feb. 2014
FCU
Union Berlin
2 - 0
FSV Frankfurt
FSV
46%
25%
29%
73 72 1 +1
14 Feb. 2014
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 - 1
Union Berlin
FCU
45%
26%
29%
73 75 2 0
08 Feb. 2014
FCU
Union Berlin
0 - 0
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
56%
24%
20%
74 70 4 -1
21 Dec. 2013
FCU
Union Berlin
4 - 2
Arminia Bielefeld
ARB
51%
25%
24%
72 70 2 +2

Matches

Ingolstadt 04
Ingolstadt 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Mar. 2014
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 1
Dynamo Dresden
SGD
49%
26%
25%
70 69 1 0
21 Feb. 2014
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
0 - 2
Ingolstadt 04
ING
48%
26%
26%
69 68 1 +1
14 Feb. 2014
ING
Ingolstadt 04
2 - 0
1860 München
MUN
38%
27%
35%
68 73 5 +1
09 Feb. 2014
KSC
Karlsruher SC
1 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
63%
22%
16%
68 76 8 0
23 Dec. 2013
ING
Ingolstadt 04
1 - 2
Kaiserslautern
KAI
23%
25%
52%
69 80 11 -1