Union Berlin vs Ingolstadt 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2014 |
STP
2 - 1
FCU
47%
25%
28%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
FCU
2 - 0
FSV
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
F95
1 - 1
FCU
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
FCU
0 - 0
SGD
56%
24%
20%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
FCU
4 - 2
ARB
51%
25%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Ingolstadt 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ING
1 - 1
SGD
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
ARB
0 - 2
ING
48%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
ING
2 - 0
MUN
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
KSC
1 - 1
ING
63%
22%
16%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2013 |
ING
1 - 2
KAI
23%
25%
52%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |