Union Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.3%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.8%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
KAI
4 - 3
FCU
21%
25%
54%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
FCU
2 - 1
SVS
48%
26%
26%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
EBT
1 - 0
FCU
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
FCU
3 - 1
F95
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
ARB
1 - 1
FCU
34%
24%
41%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SVS
1 - 1
ERZ
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
ERZ
2 - 1
KAI
31%
27%
41%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
HOL
2 - 2
ERZ
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
ERZ
0 - 0
ING
22%
29%
49%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
FCN
4 - 1
ERZ
63%
22%
16%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | -1 |