Union Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
26.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
KSC
2 - 0
FCU
31%
25%
44%
|
68 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2012 |
FCU
0 - 4
EIN
22%
24%
53%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2012 |
AAA
1 - 3
FCU
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
FCU
1 - 1
MSV
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
ING
3 - 3
FCU
36%
26%
38%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
1 - 1
SGF
19%
25%
56%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
ROS
0 - 1
ERZ
42%
26%
33%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
2 - 1
STP
23%
27%
50%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2012 |
ERZ
0 - 0
MUN
28%
27%
45%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
F95
3 - 1
ERZ
69%
20%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |