Union Berlin vs Erzgebirge Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
25%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 2008 |
SSV
0 - 2
FCU
25%
26%
49%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2008 |
FCU
2 - 2
SVS
58%
22%
20%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2008 |
UNT
1 - 0
FCU
33%
27%
40%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
FCU
1 - 0
F95
51%
25%
25%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
SVS
2 - 2
FCU
24%
26%
51%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Erzgebirge Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2008 |
STU
3 - 0
ERZ
38%
26%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2008 |
ERZ
1 - 1
BAY
54%
25%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
BSV
1 - 1
ERZ
40%
26%
34%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2008 |
ERZ
1 - 0
ERF
48%
26%
26%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
WAC
0 - 4
ERZ
32%
26%
42%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |