Union Berlin vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.6%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2005 |
TEN
1 - 1
FCU
36%
28%
36%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
FCU
2 - 1
BAK
73%
18%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2005 |
KFC
0 - 2
FCU
54%
25%
21%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2005 |
FCU
2 - 2
WOL
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
EBT
1 - 0
FCU
70%
19%
11%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2005 |
BFC
1 - 2
LFC
70%
18%
12%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2005 |
SVY
2 - 1
BFC
35%
24%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
BFC
3 - 0
OPT
78%
15%
7%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2005 |
LIC
2 - 2
BFC
13%
23%
64%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2005 |
REI
0 - 1
BFC
15%
23%
62%
|
48 | 25 | 23 | +1 |