Union Berlin vs BFC Dynamo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
10.4%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.1%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.9%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
9%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
70.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.2%
0-4
4.9%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
ZWI
5 - 1
FCU
41%
27%
33%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1989 |
FCU
1 - 0
BSV
40%
28%
32%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
FCU
1 - 3
SGD
15%
24%
62%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
MAG
3 - 1
FCU
67%
20%
14%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
FCU
1 - 0
ERF
37%
26%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Dynamo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1989 |
BFC
2 - 1
BWA
78%
15%
7%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1989 |
HAL
1 - 4
BFC
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1988 |
ROS
1 - 0
BFC
17%
22%
61%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1988 |
BFC
1 - 1
CZJ
77%
15%
7%
|
90 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
COT
0 - 2
BFC
10%
19%
72%
|
90 | 67 | 23 | 0 |