Union Berlin vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
MSV
0 - 1
FCU
52%
25%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
FCU
0 - 0
KSC
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2003 |
FCU
0 - 0
REU
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
WAC
0 - 1
FCU
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
FCU
0 - 3
KOL
26%
24%
50%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
AAA
1 - 3
EBT
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
LUB
2 - 0
AAA
38%
24%
38%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2003 |
AAA
3 - 0
RWA
43%
25%
33%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
EIN
1 - 1
AAA
59%
22%
19%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
AAA
0 - 1
EIN
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |