1. FC Sand vs Bayreuth SpVgg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
57.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Sand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
AMB
0 - 0
SAN
81%
13%
7%
|
18 | 37 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ERB
6 - 1
SAN
75%
15%
10%
|
19 | 26 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SAN
1 - 3
WUR
18%
21%
61%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
SEL
0 - 3
SAN
35%
24%
42%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 2
HOL
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Bayreuth SpVgg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
6 - 0
ERB
61%
22%
18%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
WUR
3 - 1
BAY
61%
21%
19%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
SEL
81%
13%
6%
|
31 | 15 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
HOL
0 - 2
BAY
19%
22%
59%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
BAY
2 - 1
AUB
45%
23%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |