1. FC Mülheim vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
14.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
1. FC Mülheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
RWL
0 - 1
FCM
56%
25%
20%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
FCM
3 - 1
SPO
60%
23%
18%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
ARB
1 - 1
FCM
81%
12%
6%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
FCM
3 - 0
EGE
62%
22%
16%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
VIK
2 - 2
FCM
52%
25%
23%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1973 |
SWE
2 - 3
BVB
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1973 |
SWE
1 - 3
WAT
48%
25%
27%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1973 |
RWL
1 - 0
SWE
53%
26%
22%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1973 |
SWE
2 - 2
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 1973 |
ARB
0 - 0
SWE
76%
15%
8%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | +1 |