Köln vs Hoffenheim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
42.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
3º
13º
11º
36
4º
18º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
71 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
62 | 62 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
59 | 59 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
50 | 50 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
49 | 49 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
46 | 46 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
36 | 36 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 34 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2022 |
SLO
0 - 1
KOL
32%
24%
44%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
M05
5 - 0
KOL
33%
25%
43%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
KOL
3 - 2
AUG
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
PAR
2 - 0
KOL
44%
23%
34%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
MON
5 - 2
KOL
46%
24%
30%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Hoffenheim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HOF
0 - 2
BYM
6%
11%
83%
|
85 | 94 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2022 |
HOF
5 - 1
S04
62%
20%
18%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
S04
0 - 3
HOF
26%
23%
51%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
HOF
1 - 2
BRE
51%
22%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
HER
1 - 1
HOF
26%
24%
51%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |