Köln vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 1983 |
KOL
6 - 2
OFC
73%
16%
11%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
STU
3 - 2
KOL
60%
20%
19%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
KOL
7 - 1
SSW
74%
17%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
MON
4 - 2
KOL
49%
23%
28%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
KOL
3 - 0
BOC
74%
16%
10%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1983 |
STU
3 - 2
KOL
60%
20%
19%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
LSO
1 - 0
STU
40%
25%
35%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1983 |
LEV
1 - 1
STU
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1983 |
STU
0 - 0
MON
68%
17%
15%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1983 |
STU
1 - 1
LSO
80%
14%
7%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |