Köln vs Stuttgart analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.8%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1978 |
HER
0 - 2
KOL
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1978 |
KOL
3 - 2
EBT
81%
13%
7%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 1978 |
BOC
2 - 5
KOL
32%
26%
42%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
KOL
2 - 0
BRE
79%
14%
8%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1978 |
MON
2 - 0
KOL
58%
22%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Stuttgart
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1978 |
STU
3 - 0
DAR
70%
17%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
DUK
4 - 0
STU
50%
23%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 1978 |
HER
0 - 0
STU
48%
24%
28%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
STU
4 - 1
DUK
70%
17%
13%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Nov. 1978 |
STU
3 - 0
EBT
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |