Köln vs FC St Pauli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FCU
2 - 0
KOL
34%
24%
42%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
MLL
1 - 0
KOL
24%
23%
53%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2019 |
KOL
3 - 1
GRO
56%
22%
22%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2018 |
KOL
2 - 3
BOC
60%
22%
17%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2018 |
KOL
3 - 0
MAG
63%
21%
15%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2019 |
STP
3 - 2
FCU
29%
25%
46%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
DAR
2 - 1
STP
36%
27%
37%
|
72 | 69 | 3 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
STP
3 - 2
WEH
52%
23%
25%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2019 |
STP
2 - 3
CHA
32%
26%
42%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
STP
4 - 1
MAG
45%
26%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | +1 |