Köln vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.8%
13.8%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
KOL
2 - 0
FSV
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
HSV
2 - 1
KOL
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2013 |
STP
0 - 3
KOL
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
KOL
0 - 1
ING
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
BOC
1 - 0
KOL
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
ARB
1 - 1
SGD
46%
27%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SGD
3 - 2
KAI
24%
26%
51%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
KSC
3 - 0
SGD
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
SGD
1 - 1
ERZ
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2013 |
MUN
1 - 3
SGD
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |