Köln vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
PAD
1 - 2
KOL
36%
26%
37%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2012 |
KOL
2 - 1
FSV
57%
24%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
FCU
2 - 1
KOL
29%
26%
45%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2012 |
KOL
0 - 0
STP
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
KOL
0 - 1
COT
61%
22%
17%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
SGD
3 - 1
ERZ
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
HER
1 - 0
SGD
64%
22%
14%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SGD
0 - 1
ING
54%
24%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
SVS
1 - 1
SGD
40%
28%
33%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
SGD
1 - 3
KAI
35%
27%
38%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |