Köln vs Dynamo Dresden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.4%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
KOL
2 - 4
ROS
40%
26%
34%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
AAA
2 - 3
KOL
43%
26%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
KSC
0 - 1
KOL
24%
25%
51%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
KOL
2 - 0
EIN
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2004 |
SAA
1 - 4
KOL
21%
23%
56%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
Dynamo Dresden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 2
KSC
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2004 |
EIN
2 - 1
SGD
72%
18%
10%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 1
WAC
37%
28%
36%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
SGD
1 - 2
KSC
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2004 |
COT
2 - 1
SGD
69%
20%
12%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |