DFB Pokal 1/16

Köln vs Schalke 04 analysis

Köln Schalke 04
80 ELO 86
-6.8% Tilt 24.4%
85º General ELO ranking 418º
16º Country ELO ranking 35º
ELO win probability
26.5%
Köln
25.2%
Draw
48.3%
Schalke 04

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.5%
Win probability
Köln
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.1%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
48.3%
Win probability
Schalke 04
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO progression

Köln
Schalke 04
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Köln
Köln
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Oct. 2018
KOL
Köln
1 - 1
Heidenheim
HEI
59%
23%
18%
80 70 10 0
20 Oct. 2018
HOL
Holstein Kiel
1 - 1
Köln
KOL
30%
24%
46%
79 73 6 +1
08 Oct. 2018
KOL
Köln
1 - 2
MSV Duisburg
MSV
68%
20%
12%
80 64 16 -1
28 Sep. 2018
ARB
Arminia Bielefeld
1 - 3
Köln
KOL
25%
23%
52%
80 71 9 0
25 Sep. 2018
KOL
Köln
2 - 1
Ingolstadt 04
ING
62%
23%
15%
80 70 10 0

Matches

Schalke 04
Schalke 04
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Oct. 2018
RBL
RB Leipzig
0 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
48%
24%
28%
86 87 1 0
24 Oct. 2018
GAL
Galatasaray SK
0 - 0
Schalke 04
S04
45%
24%
32%
86 85 1 0
20 Oct. 2018
S04
Schalke 04
0 - 2
Werder Bremen
BRE
42%
25%
33%
87 84 3 -1
06 Oct. 2018
F95
Fortuna Düsseldorf
0 - 2
Schalke 04
S04
17%
21%
62%
87 73 14 0
03 Oct. 2018
LOK
Lokomotiv Moskva
0 - 1
Schalke 04
S04
28%
26%
46%
87 84 3 0