Köln vs SC Freiburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability

1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
50%
Win probability

1.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →

-3%
+3%

Points and table prediction

Their league position

CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
11º
18º
17º
42
5º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
Current table | Final expectations | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
![]() |
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
![]() |
2º
|
73 | 73 |
2º
|
100% | |
![]() |
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
![]() |
4º
|
65 | 65 |
4º
|
100% | |
![]() |
5º
|
63 | 63 |
5º
|
100% | |
![]() |
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
![]() |
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
![]() |
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
![]() |
9º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
![]() |
10º
|
42 | 42 |
10º
|
100% | |
![]() |
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
100% | |
![]() |
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
![]() |
13º
|
35 | 35 |
13º
|
100% | |
![]() |
14º
|
34 | 34 |
14º
|
100% | |
![]() |
15º
|
33 | 33 |
15º
|
0% | |
![]() |
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
0% | |
![]() |
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
![]() |
18º
|
17 | 17 |
18º
|
100% |
Expected probabilities | ||
---|---|---|
![]() |
![]() |
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression


Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Köln

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
28 Apr. 2024 |
M05
![]() 1 - 1
![]() KOL
41%
25%
34%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
20 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
![]() 0 - 2
![]() DAR
51%
24%
26%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
13 Apr. 2024 |
BYM
![]() 2 - 0
![]() KOL
82%
12%
6%
|
85 | 98 | 13 | 0 |
06 Apr. 2024 |
KOL
![]() 2 - 1
![]() BOC
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
31 Mar. 2024 |
AUG
![]() 1 - 1
![]() KOL
40%
24%
36%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
SC Freiburg

1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
27 Apr. 2024 |
SCF
![]() 1 - 2
![]() WOL
51%
23%
26%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
21 Apr. 2024 |
SCF
![]() 1 - 1
![]() M05
55%
23%
23%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
14 Apr. 2024 |
DAR
![]() 0 - 1
![]() SCF
21%
23%
57%
|
89 | 80 | 9 | +1 |
06 Apr. 2024 |
SCF
![]() 1 - 4
![]() RBL
19%
21%
61%
|
89 | 95 | 6 | 0 |
30 Mar. 2024 |
MON
![]() 0 - 3
![]() SCF
39%
25%
37%
|
89 | 88 | 1 | 0 |